大局観で毎日狙う利益に天井なし！【fxリベンジ】
Comments(0)
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Profit
:
102,450JPYProfit Factor
:
1.02Rate of return risk
?
:
0.87Average Profit
:
6,579JPYAverage Loss
:
-3,177JPYBalance
?
:
1,102,450JPYRate of return (all periods)?
:
35.12%Win Rate
:
33.05%
(275/832)
Maximum Position
?
:
1Maximum Drawdown
?
:
35.57%
(117,390JPY)
Maximum Profit
:
34,220JPYMaximum Loss
:
-21,000JPYRecommended Margin
?
:
291,734JPYUnrealized P/L
:
0JPYDeposit
?
:
1,000,000JPYCurrency
:
JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT4-adopting brokers.
Forward testing (Profit)
Product Statistics
Product Comments
Monthly Statistics
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
No Data
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Currency Pairs
[USD/JPY]
Trading Style
[Swing Trading]
[Day Trading]
Maximum Number Position
1
Maximum Lot
50
Chart Time Frame
M5
Maximum Stop Loss
0
Take Profit
0
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No
fxRevengeは私がFXで勝ちたいと望んで研究開発したEAです。
これまで作ってきたEAの失敗から多くを学び「なぜドカンと負けるのか？」「どうしてバックテストでは良さそうなのにフォワードになると悪いのか？」という私にとって大きな2つの課題に挑戦したEAです。
ドカンと負ける理由
ドカンと負ける理由は気付けばとても簡単なことでした。
それはドカンと負けるだけのSL設定をしていたから・・・
普段、私達は損したくない、負けたくないと潜在的に思っています。
それを回避するために「損切りの先延ばし」つまりバックテストの範囲内でSLが発生しない値にSL値を大きくする。そうするとデータはきれいになり心が落ち着きます。
その分、負けた時の処理対応が不十分になります。
フォワードで過去データ以上の値動きがあるときにドカンと負けているのです。
どうしてフォワードで勝てないのか？
先程も少し触れましたが、バックテストのデータをきれいにすることに拘り過ぎてフォワードでの値動きを想定することが出来ていませんでした。
データをきれいにするためにSL値を大きくする→損失を小さくしたい
再現できるか分からない小さな勝ちトレードに執着する→勝率上げたい
落ち着かないから、ちょっとの利益ですぐに利確する→利小行為、スキャへの執着
負けトレードを分析し制限フィルターが増えていく→人間の頭で判断できないロジックへ変質していく
このように開発の段階から歪んでしまった心に左右されていたことに改めて気付きました。
改造に改造を重ねてもはや何を作りたかったのか忘れていたのです。
勝ちたい気持ち、負けたくない気持ちに振り回されて、私がやるべき「ロジック研究や売買手法の検証」これら活動を通して「私なりのトレード手法」を確立させていなかったのです。
2023.01.03現在で私のフォワードテストではこれまでのEAに比べて明らかに取引回数、直近の結果が良好です。過去作品と比較すると明らかに違うという良い手応えを感じています。
初心に戻り開発したのがfxRevengeとなります。
【 利大損小を目指す 】
大きな利益のためにTP値の廃止。
TP値は設定しないので、利益が伸びればどこまでも無限に利益を狙えます。
日に何度もトレードしないので手数料コストを抑えられます！
そしてSLは短期トレンドを参考に設定することで
《 無限TP ＞ 限定SL 》という形を取ることで利大損小を設計しました。
【 大局観を大事にする 基本を忘れない 】
みなさんも一度は長期トレンドを参考に短期トレンドを行いましょう。
という解説を聞いたことがあるのでは無いでしょうか？
最近流行りのマルチタイムフレームとかそんな感じですよね？
でも結局、長期トレンドのことを忘れて短期で売買していることって多くないですか？
下落局面で長期で底打ちしたと思うから、短期でロングだ！
かと思えば
これは長期で押し目だから、短期でショートだ！
他にも
長期トレンド＝1時間足でエントリーしたのに苦しくなってくると
いつの間にか長期トレンド＝日足で抵抗線があるからまだ大丈夫！
とか判断基準が変わってたり・・・
そこでfxRevengeは大局観を明確にしました。
エントリー戦略
1時間足トレンド（長期）でエントリー方向を決定
5分足（短期）でエントリータイミングを図るです。
出口戦略
長期トレンドが変化した時
短期トレンドで設定したSLにかかった時
以上が基本戦略となっています。
ものすご～く普通、当たり前だと思いませんか？
難しいことは一切なし基本を大事に設計しました。
デメリット
「コツコツ負けてドカンと勝つ」EAになったことです。
勝率は悪いです。特にレンジ相場では顕著に小さく負け続けます。
過去の私なら、これをどうにかしようと改造に改造をしたことでしょう。
しかし今回は「この手法はこれで良し」と判断しています。
レンジ相場にはレンジ相場の手法があるので別途EAを作成すれば良いのです。
ゆるい感じとなりますが、これが逆に良い結果に繋がると信じています。
サンプル画像
青＝ロング、赤＝ショート
M5でトレードした内容をH1にて表示しています。
区切り線は1日です。
パラメータについて
・GMTについては冬と夏を入力してください。
・複利運用には対応していません。
・スプレッドフィルターはありますがデフォルトはoffとなっています。
・ロールオーバー時間に対応した事前決済機能があります。
金利差を意識してスワップがもらえるときは決済しない
スワップを支払いたくないから決済する
スプレッドが暴れるから決済したい
など、ご自身の判断でご利用ください。
・週末クローズ機能搭載です。
・週始めスプレッドが安定する月曜9時までトレード制限する機能があります。
注意事項
本EAはハイリスク、ハイリターンを推奨しません。
十分にリスクをご理解頂いてからご自身の責任でご利用下さるようお願い致します。
2003年から2023年までのバックテストを参考にすると、0.1Lot運用で約-15万円となっておりますので0.1Lot運用される際には資金20万円は必要だと私は思います。
資金10万円の場合は最大0.05Lot程度が良いのでは無いでしょうか？
Sales from
:
01/18/2023 01:14
Purchased: 0times
Price:￥25,000 (taxed)
About 1-Click Order
Purchase confirmation
-
Seller：
-
Quantity
￥0
Payment method
For credit card payments, you will be redirected to the card information input screen without confirming the order.
Regular price
￥0
●Payment
Forward Test
Back Test
Forward Test
Gaitame Finest Demo Account(Actual results may vary depending on circumstances, such as broker/customer's operating environment)
Open Date | Symbol | Buy/Sell | Open Price | S/L | T/P | Close Date | Close Price | Lots | Commission | Taxes | Swap | Net Profit | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data is unavailable | |||||||||||||
Sales from : 01/18/2023 01:14
Purchased: 0times
Price:￥25,000 (taxed)
About 1-Click Order
Purchase confirmation
-
Seller：
-
Quantity
￥0
Payment method
For credit card payments, you will be redirected to the card information input screen without confirming the order.
Regular price
￥0
●Payment
About Forex Automated Trading
What is Forex Automated Trading (MT4 EA)?
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
Trading Types of Forex Automated Trading
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Risks, Advantages, and Disadvantages of Forex Automated Trading
When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
Equipment and Environment Needed for Automated Trading Operation
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Installation of MT4 and Account Login
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
How to Install EA on MT4
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
In Case You Want to Change the Account in Use
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
Solutions for Errors During Web Authentication or Non-Functional Account Trading
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
About the Size of Trading Lots
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
Glossary of Automated Trading
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
Useful related pages
・How to Install MT4 EA (Expert Advisor) and Indicators
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
