EA_final_max_1pair_DF
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Real Performance (Pips)
※Displays results including swaps and fees
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
【EA_final_max_1pair_DF】 このEAは、
安定性と高い勝率を備えた、
【24時間稼働型のトレンドフォローEA】となります。
<このEAが稼働する「通貨ペア」>
このEAは、
「ドルフラン(USDCHF)」で動作するEAとなります。
ドルフラン、という通貨ペアは、
(1)世界の基軸通貨である「ドル」と、
(2)安全資産といわれている「フラン」と、
の組み合わせからなる、通貨ペアとなります。
そのため、
両者が『信頼性のある通貨ペア同士』であることから、
昨今の「コロナの蔓延~ウクライナ戦争の勃発」といった荒れ相場においても、
極端な値動きをすることが少なく、
安定して、バックテストに近い性能を発揮しつづけている、
といえるものと考えております。
また、2022/6/5現在、
「約3年間」の長期のフォワードテストでも、
安定した右肩上がりを維持していることから、
現在の相場状態に、非常によく適応している、といえるものと思います。
<EAの性能分析>
このEAの性能を、
多面的に評価するための分析データを、以下に掲載します。
まず、【バックテスト+フォワードテスト】
の成績です。
現在、2022/9/15に、改めて、
【バックテスト期間+フォワードテスト期間】
を含めたテストを実施したところ、下記のような結果となりました。
上記の、2005/1/1~2022/9/15のテストにおいて、
・バックテスト期間:2005/1/1~2019/6/10
・フォワードテスト期間:2019/6/10~2022/9/15
となっており、【グラフの右端の3年分】が、
フォワード期間の成績となっています。
フォワードでも、バックテスト期間と同等以上の成績であることが、
ご理解いただけるかと思います。
続いて、「年度ごとの収益」です。
右端の【2022年】は、9月までの成績ながら、
すでに、非常に大きな収益を上げています。
現在のドルフラン相場が、このEAのロジックに強くフィットしている、
といえるものと思います。
こちらは、エントリー時間帯です。
早朝の時間帯などを除く、ほぼ24時間のエントリーとなります。
最後に、少し特殊なグラフとなりますが、
「時間ベースの収益グラフ」です。
前述のグラフは、
「トレード回数ベースのグラフ」でしたが、
この「時間ベースのグラフ」では、
【一定期間に、どの程度の収益を上げているか】が、
より、見やすくなります。
コロナ禍、ウクライナ問題の発生している、
直近の期間で、急激に収益力が上がってきていることが、
ご理解いただけると思います。
<まとめ>
以上、このEAは、上記の通り、
バックテスト+フォワードテストにおいて、 好調を維持しており、現在の相場に強くフィットしたEAであると考えております。
優良EAポートフォリオの候補として、
よろしければ、ご検討くださいませ。
ねこ博士
Price:¥21,800 (taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 06/10/2019 04:57
Price:¥21,800 (taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working