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フランスの数学者が発明した手法を取り入れたシステム円絡み
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- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Profit
:
-897,081JPYProfit Factor
:
0.82Rate of return risk
?
:
-0.97Average Profit
:
8,255JPYAverage Loss
:
-7,880JPYBalance
?
:
102,919JPYRate of return (all periods)?
:
-36.77%Win Rate
:
44.00%
(480/1091)
Maximum Position
?
:
6Maximum Drawdown
?
:
37.72%
(928,160JPY)
Maximum Profit
:
28,992JPYMaximum Loss
:
-18,120JPYRecommended Margin
?
:
2,439,910JPYUnrealized P/L
:
0JPYDeposit
?
:
1,000,000JPYCurrency
:
JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT4-adopting brokers.
※EA measurement is stopped
Forward testing (Profit)
Product Statistics
Product Comments
Monthly Statistics
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Currency Pairs
[USD/JPY]
[EUR/JPY]
[GBP/JPY]
[CHF/JPY]
[AUD/JPY]
[NZD/JPY]
Trading Style
[Scalping]
[Day Trading]
[Swing Trading]
[Position Trading]
Maximum Number Position
1
Maximum Lot
0.3
Chart Time Frame
M5
Maximum Stop Loss
50
Take Profit
50
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No
優位性だけを考えて作ったシステムの6通貨ペアセットです
ロットのかけ方をピラミッド法(ダランベール法)を用いてかけていくシステムです。
令和2年10月31日バグ修正版アップ
ピラミッド法とは、ジャン・ル・ロン・ダランベール(1717.11~1783.10)という数学に精通した人物が開発したギャンブル攻略法です。
ギャンブルをこよなく愛していたダランベールがギャンブルで安定した戦い方をするために研究・開発された技法で、
コツコツと時間をかけながら勝利を積み重ねていくことから別名ピラミッド法とも呼ばれています。
ピラミッド法は勝ったら賭け額を1単位減らし、負けたら賭け額を1単位増やす必勝法です。
勝った場合⇒賭け金を1単位減らし、次ゲームで賭ける
負けた場合⇒賭け金を1単位増やし、次ゲームで賭ける
これによって必然的勝ちトレードが一番大きいロットでかけれるようになります。
ピラミッド法の特徴は自己資金を多くのリスクにさらすことなく、利益を積み上げられることです。
この手法は長期的な運用に向いていて理由は勝ち負け同数の場合でも徐々に利益が積み上がる点にあります。
また、たとえ1回分負け越したとしても利益が残る点がこの方法の凄いところです。
FXの勝てない大きな要因、スプレッド(手数料)とスワップ金利、そしてレバレッジをどうにかイーブンに出来ないかを試行錯誤していく中で
ピラミッド法は役に立ってくれそうだと思いシステムに組み込みました
基本TP=SLで勝率も50%ならピラミッド法を使えばほぼ確実に利益は出ます。
ただスプレッドがある中でTPとSLを同じにして50%の勝率を出すのが至難の業で
売買回数が増えれば増えるほどスプレッド分、負けの方が大きくなってきます
これは当たり前の事でこれがFX会社の利益になります
でもピラミッド法で取引すると勝率49.5%ぐらいで利益が出たりしますので
大きく期待が出来る方法です。
今までTP=SLで51%以上出ないと利益出なかったのが49.5%で良いとなると作る方も全然違います
もう一つの優位性は多通貨ペアの動きで一つだけ大きくズレたものを他の通貨ペアに寄せる方向にエントリーします。
もちろんその通貨ペアが先に動いて他の通貨ペアが付いてくる場合もあるでしょうが
6通貨ペアで動かせば多い方に寄って行く方が多いだろうと思い作りました
バックテストでは利益が出ていますが
ただ6通貨ペアを読み取ってのバックテストですから信ぴょう性がどうだろう?
とこちらも疑っています、
どの位の差が出たらエントリーと
そこら辺の設定もユーザー様の方で出来るようにしています
もちろんTP,SLを変更すれば勝率なんかいくらでも上げれるしどの比率が良いのかもまだまだ未知数なので
こちらもユーザー様の方で設定できるようにしています
パラメーター設定(CHFJPYの設定です)
MAGIC1 2571422 マジックナンバー他のEAと被らない様にして下さい
Lots1 0.01 ロット数一番小さいロット数、初めのエントリーは15倍から始まります
Slip 10 許容スリッページ
piramid true ピラミッド法で取引する場合はtrue。固定ロットでする場合はfalse
entryjikan false ※今後バージョンアップで設定していこうとしているので現段階では使いません
exitjikan false ※今後バージョンアップで設定していこうとしているので現段階では使いません
Comment コメント、お好きな文字を入れてください
TP1 50 テイクプロフィット
LC1 50 ロスカット
usdjpy USDJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
eurjpy EURJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
gbpjpy GBPJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
chfjpy CHFJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
audjpy AUDJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
nzdjpy NZDJPY 設定するMT4の通貨ペアの文字と同じものを入れてください
kakakusa 4 他の通貨ペアの動きの差(大きい程優位性は上がると思いますが取引量が減ります)
senko 4 価格の差が開いている通貨ペアの数(1~5)
MAXLOTS 0.3 最大ロットの指定
volume_h 290 Volumeがこの数字より低い時だけエントリーします
下のバックテストの資産グラフは常時両建てで利食い損切りを常にポジションを持ちっぱなしにしています
スプレッドがあるので当たり前ですが普通上の図のように売買回数が増えるたびにスプレッド分右肩下がりになります
下の図はおなじ条件でロットをダランベール法にした資産曲線です
確実にダランベール法にエッジがあることが分かります。
この方法の優位性が分かってもらえたと思います
上から CHFJPY USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY AUDJPY NZDJPY
の過去10年間の資産曲線です
¥1,700 coupon eligible products.
×
Sales from
:
11/30/2020 22:55
Purchased: 1times
Price:¥18,000 (taxed)
●Payment
Forward Test
Back Test
¥1,700 coupon eligible products.
×
Sales from : 11/30/2020 22:55
Purchased: 1times
Price:¥18,000 (taxed)
●Payment
About Forex Automated Trading
What is Forex Automated Trading (MT4 EA)?
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
Trading Types of Forex Automated Trading
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Risks, Advantages, and Disadvantages of Forex Automated Trading
When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
Equipment and Environment Needed for Automated Trading Operation
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Installation of MT4 and Account Login
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
How to Install EA on MT4
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
In Case You Want to Change the Account in Use
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
Solutions for Errors During Web Authentication or Non-Functional Account Trading
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
About the Size of Trading Lots
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
Glossary of Automated Trading
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
Useful related pages
・How to Install MT4 EA (Expert Advisor) and Indicators
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working