EAの強みと弱みを知り、EAを使いこなす。【Piggy Bank】

EAの強みと弱みを知り、EAを使いこなす。【Piggy Bank】

EAの強みと弱みを知り、EAを使いこなす。【Piggy Bank】 Auto Trading
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Expert Advisors
MetaTrader 4
Last Updated At
9/27/2022
Version
1.0
My Profile
コヤジ
  • Whole period
  • 2 years
  • 1 year
  • 6 months
  • 3 months
  • 1 month
Profit
802,329JPY
Profit Factor
2.05
Rate of return risk  ?
1.45
Average Profit
1,108JPY
Average Loss
-1,135JPY
Balance  ?
1,802,329JPY
Rate of return (all periods)?
62.49%
Win Rate
67.72% (1452/2144)
Maximum Position  ?
11
Maximum Drawdown  ?
39.45% (554,866JPY)
Maximum Profit
30,713JPY
Maximum Loss
-7,067JPY
Recommended Margin  ?
1,283,900JPY
Unrealized P/L
-75JPY
Deposit  ?
1,000,000JPY
Currency
JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT4-adopting brokers.

Forward testing (Profit)

Product Statistics
Product Comments

Monthly Statistics

2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
  • Jan
  • Feb
  • Mar
  • Apr
  • May
  • Jun
  • Jul
  • Aug
  • Sep
  • Oct
  • Nov
  • Dec

Calendar for Months

About EA's Strategy

Translating...

Currency Pairs
[GBP/AUD]
Trading Style
[Day Trading]
Maximum Number Position
11
Maximum Lot
1.12
Chart Time Frame
M5
Maximum Stop Loss
0
Take Profit
0
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No

皆さんは、EAを購入する時、何を基準に選びますか?


収益率?ドローダウン率?取引回数?価格?


一般的には、価格以外の情報はバックテストかフォワードテストでしか得ることは出来ません。


では、バックテストで良い成績を出しているから、未来も良い成績で行くという確信はありますでしょうか?


想像してみて下さい。

バックテストで10年間収益を出し続けてるEAがあるとします。

あなたは、過去10年間1度もEAを停止せず、稼働し続けていられたでしょうか。

また、この先10年間、1度も稼働を停止せずに運用できるでしょうか。

疫病が流行り、戦争が起こっても果たして稼働し続けられるでしょうか。


バックテストは自分を安心させるための情報に過ぎません。

10年間ドローダウンが7%だったのに、フォワードテストでは、開始1か月で20%なんてよくある話しです。


個人的には、どんなEAも上手に付き合っていくには、EAのロジックを十分理解し、相場に合わせて稼働と停止を選択する事で長い間利益を出し続けていけると考えています。


しかし、せっかく購入しても、ロジックが分からないと、放置するしかありません。

つまり、勝っても負けてもEAの責任となります。

これだと、聖杯探しをするEA難民になってしまいます。


偉そうに言ってますが、私も過去にたくさんのEAを購入し、1も持たずにお蔵入りのものが沢山あります(汗)


「こんなに利益を出せる!」「低リスクでも高リターン」「10間で100万が1億に!」のキャッチコピーとバックテストの結果で、見つけた時はすっかり億トレーダーになったと勘違いしていました(爆)


皆さんもそんな経験はないでしょうか。


どんなEAも自分がコントロールしてこそ、利益を出し続けられるのではないでしょうか。


つまり、EA任せにするのではなく、EAを管理するという事です

そのためには、最低限EAのロジックを理解している必要があります。

利益を出すことだけでなく、負ける時はどんな時なのか、資金が溶けてしまう場面はどんな相場なのかがわかっている事が大事ではないでしょうか。


EAのロジックはとてもシンプルです。

基本的には、エントリーを絞り込み、逆行した際はナンピンをおこないます。

ただ、ナンピンのロット係数はマーチンゲールのように倍々に張っていくわけではありません。

もちろん、ナンピンは行われず、1ポジションだけで決済することも多々あります。


ロジックも全て公開しますので、相場に合わせて稼働、停止を選択出来ます。

また、過去のチャートから溶けてしまう相場例を確認して、どんな時に溶けやすいのかを理解できます。


つまり、負ける相場を知る事で、リスクを回避しやすくなります。

自分のEAで負けるパターンを教えてしまうって

ですが、それが一番大事だと考えてます。


基本的には、どんな通貨でも対応します。(通貨に合わせてパラメーターの調整は必要です)

ただし、ボラティリティが大きい通貨ほどリスクは伴います。


EAは、販売するにあたってバックテストを提出しなくてはならないため、ボラの大きいGBPAUD、レバレッジ50倍のOANDAで出しています。

もちろん、バックテストですので、稼働しっぱなしです。

でも、このバックテストのデータを100%信用しないで下さい。


上記にも記載しましたが、あくまでもバックテストで、未来も同じような結果を出し続ける保証書ではありません。


以下、REAL TRADEで稼働させていますチャート画面の一部です。

(REAL TRADEは初期費用が10万円スタート:レバレッジ999倍です。)


1.GBPAUDの2022年4月4日の相場です。最高値から最安値まで330ピプスほどの下落相場での様子です。

ポジション数は合計で9個、合計ロット数は0.42ロットです。



2.同じくGBPAUDの上昇相場での売りのエントリーです。逆行した際にナンピンが発動しています。底から天井までおよそ300ピプスの上昇の中での様子です。



3.GOLDの2022年3月28日の相場です。この日は早朝から下落が始まり、400ピプス(40ドル以上)の下落相場でした。買いでエントリーが発動し、逆行の際にナンピンが発動しています。売りと買いを繰り返して利益を積み重ねていきます。実は矢印がたくさん出ているので、たくさんのナンピンをおこなっているように見えますが、実際のポジション数は、左から買いが2ポジ、2ポジ、6ポジ、2ポジ、3ポジ、売りが3ポジ、1ポジ、買いが6ポジ、5ポジと一回のトレードでは先ほどのGBPAUDよりも細かく獲っています。



説明書では、GOLDの昨年8月の雇用統計後の暴落相場、今年2月のロシアウクライナ問題での暴騰相場の様子をお伝えし、稼働させてはいけない相場を確認していただきます。

逆に、このEAの弱みを知ることで、このような相場は戦ってはいけないことを知ることができます。


どんなEAもロジックを知り、管理できないと勝ち続けることはできません!


勝つことも大事ですが、生き残ることはもっと大事です。

EAを活かすために、EAを知りつくしましょう。


(注意)必ず最初はデモ口座で1週間以上稼働させてから、ご利用下さい。


質問は直接メッセージでいただくか、コメント欄にお願いします。

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About Forex Automated Trading
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.

To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)

When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.

[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.

・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.

[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.

・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.

・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.


[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.

・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.

Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.

Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.

The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).

Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.

If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.

To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.

When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
 → Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:

1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units

For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
GogoJungle Corporation
Registration Number for Financial Instruments Business: No. 1960 - Kanto Finance Bureau (Gold Trading)
A member of General Incorporated Association and Japan Investment Advisers Association
GogoJungle Corporation
Registration Number for Financial Instruments Business:
No. 1960 - Kanto Finance Bureau (Gold Trading)
A member of General Incorporated Association
Japan Investment Advisers Association
Financial Services AgencyJapan Investment Advisers AssociationFinancial Instruments Mediation Assistance CenterSecurities and Exchange Surveillance Commission

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