EAの強みと弱みを知り、EAを使いこなす。【Piggy Bank】
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
皆さんは、EAを購入する時、何を基準に選びますか?
収益率?ドローダウン率?取引回数?価格?
一般的には、
では、バックテストで良い成績を出しているから、
想像してみて下さい。
バックテストで10年間収益を出し続けてるEAがあるとします。
あなたは、過去10年間1度もEAを停止せず、
また、この先10年間、1度も稼働を停止せずに運用できるでしょ
疫病が流行り、
バックテストは自分を安心させるための情報に過ぎません。
10年間ドローダウンが7%だったのに、フォワードテストでは、
個人的には、どんなEAも上手に付き合っていくには、EAのロジックを十分理解し、
しかし、せっかく購入しても、ロジックが分からないと、
つまり、勝っても負けてもEAの責任となります。
これだと、聖杯探しをするEA難民になってしまいます。
偉そうに言ってますが、私も過去にたくさんのEAを購入し、1年
「こんなに利益を出せる!」「低リスクでも高リターン」「10年
皆さんもそんな経験はないでしょうか。
どんなEAも自分がコントロールしてこそ、
つまり、EA任せにするのではなく、EAを管理するという事です
そのためには、最低限EAのロジックを理解している必要がありま
利益を出すことだけでなく、負ける時はどんな時なのか、
当EAのロジックはとてもシンプルです。
基本的には、エントリーを絞り込み、逆行した際はナンピンをおこないます。
ただ、ナンピンの
もちろん、ナンピンは行われず、1ポジションだけで決済することも多々あります。
ロジックも全て公開しますので、相場に合わせて稼働、
また、過去のチャートから溶けてしまう相場例を確認して、どんな時に溶けやすいのかを理解できます。
つまり、負ける相場を知る事で、リスクを回避しやすくなります。
自分のEAで負けるパターンを教えてしまうって…
ですが、それが一番大事だと考えてます。
基本的には、どんな通貨でも対応します。(
ただし、ボラティリティが大きい通貨ほどリスクは伴います。
当EAは、
もちろん、バックテストですので、稼働しっぱなしです。
でも、このバックテストのデータを100%信用しないで下さい。
上記にも記載しましたが、あくまでもバックテストで、
以下、REAL TRADEで稼働させていますチャート画面の一部です。
(REAL TRADEは初期費用が10万円スタート:レバレッジ999倍です。)
1.GBPAUDの2022年4月4日の相場です。最高値から最安値まで330ピプスほどの下落相場での様子です。
ポジション数は合計で9個、合計ロット数は0.42ロットです。
2.同じくGBPAUDの上昇相場での売りのエントリーです。逆行した際にナンピンが発動しています。底から天井までおよそ300ピプスの上昇の中での様子です。
3.GOLDの2022年3月28日の相場です。この日は早朝から下落が始まり、400ピプス(40ドル以上)の下落相場でした。買いでエントリーが発動し、逆行の際にナンピンが発動しています。売りと買いを繰り返して利益を積み重ねていきます。実は矢印がたくさん出ているので、たくさんのナンピンをおこなっているように見えますが、実際のポジション数は、左から買いが2ポジ、2ポジ、6ポジ、2ポジ、3ポジ、売りが3ポジ、1ポジ、買いが6ポジ、5ポジと一回のトレードでは先ほどのGBPAUDよりも細かく獲っています。
説明書では、GOLDの昨年8月の雇用統計後の暴落相場、今年2月のロシアウクライナ問題での暴騰相場の様子をお伝えし、稼働させてはいけない相場を確認していただきます。
逆に、このEAの弱みを知ることで、このような相場は戦ってはいけないことを知ることができます。
どんなEAもロジックを知り、管理できないと勝ち続けることはできません!
勝つことも大事ですが、生き残ることはもっと大事です。
EAを活かすために、EAを知りつくしましょう。
(注意)必ず最初はデモ口座で1週間以上稼働させてから、ご利用下さい。
質問は直接メッセージでいただくか、コメント欄にお願いします。
The coupon expires today.
Price:¥14,800 (taxed)
●Payment
The coupon expires today.
Sales from : 07/08/2022 03:59
Price:¥14,800 (taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working