Martingalism_USDJPY

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Expert Advisors

MetaTrader 5

Last Updated At

10/18/2024

Version

1.4

My Profile

Shota

Whole period
2 years
1 year
6 months
3 months
1 month

Profit

: 4,154JPY

Profit Factor

: 1.20

Rate of return risk ?

: 0.23

Average Profit

: 5,994JPY

Average Loss

: -4,992JPY

Balance ?

: 1,004,154JPY

Rate of return (all periods)?

: 3.96%

Win Rate

: 50.00% (4/8)

Maximum Position ?

: 1

Maximum Drawdown ?

: 14.96% (18,096JPY)

Maximum Profit

: 8,000JPY

Maximum Loss

: -7,936JPY

Recommended Margin ?

: 104,836JPY

Unrealized P/L

: 0JPY

Deposit ?

: 1,000,000JPY

Currency

: JPY- Account

Operable Brokers

Usable with MT5-adopting brokers.

Forward testing (Profit)

Product Statistics

Product Comments

Monthly Statistics

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Calendar for Months

About EA's Strategy

Translating...

Currency Pairs

[USD/JPY]

Trading Style

[Day Trading]

Maximum Number Position

Maximum Lot

Chart Time Frame

Maximum Stop Loss

Take Profit

Straddle Trading

Application Type

Metatrader Auto Trading

Other File Usages

Martingalism_USDJPYは、

継続的な収益を狙う、順張り＋単ポジ+マーチンゲールEAです。

トレードロジック

上位足並びに1分足のMovingAverage両方でトレンドが形成されている場合にエントリーを行います。
順張りロジックであるため、トレンド相場に強いです。
損益比1:1のトレードを行い、勝率は50%強です。

資金管理法
Martingalism_USDJPYではマーチンゲール法を採用しています。

マーチンゲールEAの欠点として、
「無限大の資金がなければ、数多く連敗した場合にドローダウンが大きくなり破綻してしまう可能性があること」

が挙げられます。
Martingalism_USDJPYではこの課題を以下2点で、破綻のリスクを抑えています。

ナンピンマーチンEAではなく順張り単ポジマーチンEAであること。→相場の急騰急落局面で大連敗する可能性が低い。
最大マーチンゲール回数が設定可能。→ドローダウンを抑えることができる。

さらに、単利運用と複利運用を選択することができます。
複利運用の場合、リスク率を抑えて長期的に使っていただけると本EAの効果を実感できます。

パラメーター

パラメーターに関してはデフォルト値のままご使用できます。
※証拠金状況やリスク許容度に合わせて、初回ロット、初回リスク率、最大マーチンゲール回数の変更を推奨します。
※複利機能を利用する際は運用するブローカーで正常にLotサイズが計算されることを、バックテストで確認してください。

項目
説明
デフォルト値
Magic_Number
マジックナンバー。他のEAと重複しないように入力。
1079
LotOrLisk_Fix
単利か複利モードを決定するパラメーター。単利の場合は0、複利の場合は1を入力。
1
Initial_Lot 初回ロット(Lot)の設定。単利モードの場合入力する必要あり。運用中は連敗数とマーチン倍率に応じてロット数が自動で増減します。 ※複利モードの場合値は参照されないので、適当な値で構いません。
0.01
Risk_Ratio 初回リスク率の設定。複利モードの場合入力する必要あり。証拠金の何％で損切りをするか決めます。このリスク率に応じてロットが自動計算されます。運用中は連敗数とマーチン倍率に応じてロット数が自動で増減します。※単位は％ではありません。例）0.4%の場合0.004。 ※単利モードの場合値は参照されないので、適当な値で構いません。
0.004
Max_Martin_Rounds 最大マーチンゲール回数(回）。連敗数がこの値より大きくなると、単利モードの場合はエントリーロットがInitial_lotに、複利モードの場合はエントリーロットがRisk_Ratio に応じたロットにリセットされます。
4
Martin_Magnification
マーチンゲール倍率(倍）。
2

エントリーロットの決まり方

・単利の場合 : 初回ロットは、 Initial_Lotとなります。以後、マーチンゲール法に則りロット数が増減します。
・複利の場合 : 初回ロットは、損切り額が余剰証拠金 * Risk_Ratioとなるようなロットとなります。以後、マーチンゲール法に則りロット数が増減します。

例）単利( LotOrLisk_Fix = 0),Initial_Lot = 0.01, Max_Martin_Rounds = 5, Martin_Magnification = 2

トレード回数マーチンゲールラウンドエントリーロット勝敗次回エントリーロット
1回目 1 0.01 勝(TP) 0.01
2回目 2 0.01 負(SL) 0.02
3回目 3 0.02 勝(TP) 0.01(Reset)
4回目 1 0.01 負(SL) 0.02
5回目 2 0.02 負(SL) 0.04
6回目 3 0.04 負(SL) 0.08
7回目 4 0.08 負(SL) 0.16
8回目 5 0.16 負(SL) 0.01(Reset, Max_Martin_Roundsに達したため）
9回目 1 0.01 勝(TP) 0.01

バックテスト

バックテストには最大レバレッジ25倍の口座を使用しています。

直近約10年間を通したバックテスト結果を見ると、前半は後半に比べて利益の伸びが小さいものの、破綻することなく運用できていることがわかります。

10年間（2014-2024)

単利(LotOrLisk_Fix : 0, Initial_Lot : 0.04, Risk_Ratio : -, Max_Martin_Rounds : 4, Martin_Magnification : 2)

複利(LotOrLisk_Fix : 1, Initial_Lot : -, Risk_Ratio : 0.004, Max_Martin_Rounds : 4, Martin_Magnification : 2)

次に、2019年を運用スタートとした場合です。ドル円は直近約3年間はトレンドが大きく発生し、安定した利益が出ています。

5年間（2019-2024)

単利(LotOrLisk_Fix : 0, Initial_Lot : 0.04, Risk_Ratio : -, Max_Martin_Rounds : 4, Martin_Magnification : 2)

複利(LotOrLisk_Fix : 1, Initial_Lot : -, Risk_Ratio : 0.004, Max_Martin_Rounds : 4, Martin_Magnification : 2)

免責事項

FX取引は高いリスクを伴い、元本割れの可能性があります。
市場が急変動し、ストップロスが機能しない場合には、設定を超える損失が発生する恐れがあります。
EAのバックテストおよびフォワードテストの結果は、将来の利益を保証するものではありません。
EAの取引パフォーマンスは、使用するブローカーやVPSの環境によって異なる可能性があります。
不具合やバグを可能な限り検証しておりますが、万が一の誤動作によって生じた損失に関しては責任を負いかねます。
投資は自己判断と責任のもとで行ってください。以上を理解の上、ご利用ください。

￥2,700 coupon eligible products.

Sales from : 10/17/2024 22:09

Purchased: 0times

Price:￥30,000 (taxed)

●Payment

Forward Test

Back Test

￥2,700 coupon eligible products.

Sales from : 10/17/2024 22:09

Purchased: 0times

Price:￥30,000 (taxed)

●Payment

About Forex Automated Trading

What is Forex Automated Trading (MT4 EA)?

Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.

Trading Types of Forex Automated Trading

There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.

To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)

Risks, Advantages, and Disadvantages of Forex Automated Trading

When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.

[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.

・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.

[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.

・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.

・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.

[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.

・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.

Equipment and Environment Needed for Automated Trading Operation

The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.

Installation of MT4 and Account Login

If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.

Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.

How to Install EA on MT4

To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.

Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.

The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).

Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.

If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.

In Case You Want to Change the Account in Use

EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.

To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.

When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.

Solutions for Errors During Web Authentication or Non-Functional Account Trading

If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
　→　Items to Check When EA is Not Operating

About the Size of Trading Lots

In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:

1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units

For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.

Glossary of Automated Trading

・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)

Useful related pages

・How to Install MT4 EA (Expert Advisor) and Indicators
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working

トレード回数	マーチンゲールラウンド	エントリーロット	勝敗	次回エントリーロット
1回目	1	0.01	勝(TP)	0.01
2回目	2	0.01	負(SL)	0.02
3回目	3	0.02	勝(TP)	0.01(Reset)
4回目	1	0.01	負(SL)	0.02
5回目	2	0.02	負(SL)	0.04
6回目	3	0.04	負(SL)	0.08
7回目	4	0.08	負(SL)	0.16
8回目	5	0.16	負(SL)	0.01(Reset, Max_Martin_Roundsに達したため）
9回目	1	0.01	勝(TP)	0.01

Martingalism_USDJPY